Late November Climate Outlook
What’s Next for the Pacific Northwest?
Colder than normal conditions most likely December through February. Wetter than normal conditions across eastern Washington.
The Climate Prediction Center’s monthly outlook for December 2025 shows slightly increased chances of cooler than normal conditions across the northern half of Washington.
Early November Climate Outlook
A La Niña advisory is in place meaning that La Niña conditions are present in the tropical Pacific Ocean. This year’s La Niña is on track to be a fairly weak event, in line with forecasts made earlier in the season, and will likely return to neutral conditions by the January-March period (56% chance).
Read moreEarly October Climate Outlook
A La Niña Advisory was issued by the Climate Prediction Center on October 9 indicating that La Niña conditions are currently in place. La Niña conditions are the most likely scenario now through December-January-February.
Read moreEarly September Climate Outlook
The Climate Prediction Center issued a La Niña Watch in August. This watch means that La Niña conditions are likely to develop over the next several months, but that La Niña conditions are not currently in place.
Read moreLate August Climate Outlook
What’s Next for the Pacific Northwest?
Short Term: Persistent Heat Likely Through Early September
Dangerous heat is building across the Pacific Northwest this week and into the weekend. Warmer than normal temperatures are also expected to persist over the next couple of weeks, as illustrated in the Climate Prediction Center 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook below.
Early August Climate Outlook
ENSO-neutral conditions are likely to continue through October according to the Climate Prediction Center (CPC). Neutral conditions make it more difficult to predict upcoming fall conditions. There are roughly equal chances of either La Niña or neutral ENSO conditions for the upcoming winter, with much lower chances of El Niño conditions.
Read moreMid July Climate Outlook
What’s Next for the Pacific Northwest?
Warmer and drier than normal conditions will likely persist through August
The CPCs one month outlook for August 2025 indicates elevated chances of above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation.
Early July Climate Outlook
ENSO-neutral conditions are still very likely to continue through the summer and early fall according to the Climate Prediction Center (CPC). Neutral conditions typically do not play a large role in determining our average summer weather, so the outlooks discussed below are determined mostly from seasonal forecast models.
Read moreLate June Climate Outlook
What’s Next for the Pacific Northwest?
July – September is likely to be warmer and drier than normal
The CPCs one month outlook for July 2025 shows elevated chances of warmer and drier than normal conditions across the state.
Early June Climate Outlook
ENSO-neutral conditions are very likely (74% chance) to continue through the summer according to the Climate Prediction Center (CPC). Neutral conditions typically do not play a large role in determining our average summer weather so the outlooks elaborated on below are determined mostly from seasonal forecast models.
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