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Early January Climate Outlook

Key Messages

La Niña conditions remain in place, with a 75% chance of neutral conditions by January-March. El Niño conditions are becoming more likely in the extended outlook, with nearly equal chances of neutral or El Niño conditions for the June-August period and minimal chances of La Niña persisting.  

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December 2025 Climate Summary

December was the warmest December since at least 1895.  A considerable warm period through much of the first half of the month boosted monthly average temperatures well above normal. In western Washington, monthly temperatures ran 3-5°F above normal including in Olympia (+4.5°F, fifth warmest on record), SeaTac (+3.2°F, third warmest on record), Hoquiam (+4.2°F, second warmest on record), and Vancouver (+6.2°F, new monthly record).  

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Counting Every Drop: CoCoRaHS Observer Stories

“I think of CoCoRaHS like the nerves under a person’s skin. Dozens of nerves are useful, but THOUSANDS of nerves give you so much better feedback.” 
 
Every morning, Laurie Pitman takes her border collie, Emma, outside. 

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Late December Climate Outlook

What’s Next for the Pacific Northwest?
Wetter than normal conditions most likely January-March. Slightly elevated chance of cooler than normal temperatures January-March. 
The Climate Prediction Center’s monthly outlook for January 2026 shows good odds (40-50% chance) of wetter than normal conditions across most of the state. 

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