Early July Climate Outlook
ENSO-neutral conditions are still very likely to continue through the summer and early fall according to the Climate Prediction Center (CPC). Neutral conditions typically do not play a large role in determining our average summer weather, so the outlooks discussed below are determined mostly from seasonal forecast models.
Read moreLate June Climate Outlook
What’s Next for the Pacific Northwest?
July – September is likely to be warmer and drier than normal
The CPCs one month outlook for July 2025 shows elevated chances of warmer and drier than normal conditions across the state.
Early June Climate Outlook
ENSO-neutral conditions are very likely (74% chance) to continue through the summer according to the Climate Prediction Center (CPC). Neutral conditions typically do not play a large role in determining our average summer weather so the outlooks elaborated on below are determined mostly from seasonal forecast models.
Read moreLate May Climate Outlook
What’s Next for the Pacific Northwest?
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
ENSO-neutral conditions likely continue through summer
ENSO-neutral conditions continue in the Tropical Pacific. Neutral conditions are expected to continue most likely through the summer according to ENSO models.
Early May Climate Outlook
ENSO-neutral conditions are in place according to the Climate Prediction Center (CPC). Neutral conditions will likely continue through the summer with a 50% chance that neutral conditions persist through August-October 2025.
Read moreLate April 2025 Climate Outlook
What’s Next for the Pacific Northwest?
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
ENSO-neutral conditions have officially returned and are likely to continue through summer.
Sea surface temperatures in the Tropical Pacific continued to warm throughout March and have returned to near-normal.
Early April 2025 Climate Outlook
As of March 31st, a La Niña advisory is still in place according to the Climate Prediction Center (CPC). Nevertheless, La Niña conditions have continued to weaken, and we are expecting to enter a neutral ENSO phase during April.
Read moreLate March 2025 Climate Outlook
What’s Next for the Pacific Northwest?
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO): Weak La Niña conditions are expected to transition to neutral conditions in the next month.
La Niña conditions continue to weaken driven in large part by warming sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Tropical Pacific.
February 2025 Climate Outlook
What’s Next for the Pacific Northwest?
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO): Our weak La Niña persists this February.
La Niña conditions are still present according to the Climate Prediction Center (CPC). Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are running -0.6°C below normal in the Niño 3.4 region, which is an important indicator region for determining ENSO phases.
January 2025 Climate Outlook
What’s Next for the Pacific Northwest?
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO): La Niña is here!
On January 9, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a “La Niña Advisory” due to La Niña being present in the tropical Pacific Ocean.